Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023939 0.025748 0.027635 0.029753 0.032067 0.034519 0.037321
2024-12-29 0.020806 0.023356 0.026156 0.029465 0.033283 0.037564 0.042748
2025-01-05 0.018658 0.021624 0.025004 0.029162 0.034166 0.040029 0.047467
2025-01-12 0.016866 0.020044 0.023776 0.028515 0.034417 0.041585 0.051039
2025-01-19 0.015887 0.019301 0.023418 0.028795 0.035702 0.044368 0.056213
2025-01-26 0.014933 0.018488 0.022876 0.028749 0.036499 0.046510 0.060636
2025-02-02 0.014286 0.017999 0.022679 0.029089 0.037764 0.049281 0.066038
2025-02-09 0.013476 0.017237 0.022064 0.028810 0.038148 0.050848 0.069837
2025-02-16 0.012817 0.016626 0.021600 0.028681 0.038693 0.052628 0.074017
2025-02-23 0.012192 0.016020 0.021097 0.028453 0.039058 0.054142 0.077874
2025-03-02 0.011700 0.015564 0.020766 0.028431 0.039694 0.056056 0.082433
2025-03-09 0.011131 0.014969 0.020208 0.028044 0.039757 0.057101 0.085691
2025-03-16 0.010541 0.014324 0.019554 0.027489 0.039546 0.057733 0.088365
2025-03-23 0.010088 0.013851 0.019120 0.027230 0.039761 0.059021 0.092182
2025-03-30 0.009664 0.013400 0.018694 0.026956 0.039925 0.060221 0.095919
2025-04-06 0.009182 0.012842 0.018085 0.026366 0.039553 0.060525 0.098131
2025-04-13 0.008966 0.012665 0.018029 0.026622 0.040530 0.063070 0.104407
2025-04-20 0.008686 0.012378 0.017793 0.026580 0.041014 0.064814 0.109377
2025-04-27 0.008513 0.012246 0.017783 0.026889 0.042086 0.067606 0.116462
2025-05-04 0.008211 0.011903 0.017435 0.026636 0.042196 0.068735 0.120518
2025-05-11 0.007959 0.011629 0.017180 0.026518 0.042525 0.070259 0.125429
2025-05-18 0.007700 0.011334 0.016880 0.026310 0.042682 0.071475 0.129824
2025-05-25 0.007499 0.011119 0.016699 0.026290 0.043163 0.073299 0.135559